Model line
Samford −13.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Samford 92%
Projected tempo
70.9
possessions
Site
Samford home
8%Win probability92%
The model makes Samford a 13.6-point favorite, winning about 92 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
VMI offense vs Samford defense
| VMI O | Stat | Samford D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.6#220 | Tempo | #17968.4 |
| 47.6#324 | eFG% | #20651.9 |
| 15.3#93 | TOV% | #35613.0 |
| 25.6#330 | ORB% | #1725.7 |
| 30.6#294 | FT rate | #13032.9 |
| 10.5#276 | Block% | #3127.0 |
| 50.7#227 | Assist% | #2945.8 |
| 47.9#313 | 2P% | #11450.3 |
| 31.5#306 | 3P% | #32836.5 |
| 72.2#201 | FT% | — |
| 53.6#2 | 3PA rate | #28835.9 |
Samford offense vs VMI defense
| Samford O | Stat | VMI D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.4#179 | Tempo | #22067.6 |
| 53.1#101 | eFG% | #35757.0 |
| 13.4#13 | TOV% | #24315.7 |
| 25.3#333 | ORB% | #36037.2 |
| 41.9#32 | FT rate | #16934.6 |
| 10.2#254 | Block% | #3356.4 |
| 55.2#110 | Assist% | #35662.3 |
| 52.8#138 | 2P% | #35958.9 |
| 35.6#84 | 3P% | #32936.5 |
| 69.2#294 | FT% | — |
| 45.7#53 | 3PA rate | #1746.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
VMI
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | UNC Greensboro289 | L 70–84 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Chattanooga274 | L 79–86 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Samford206 | L 61–80 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Western Carolina184 | L 62–81 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | A | Wofford276 | L 76–82 |
Samford
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Furman147 | L 81–86 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | UNC Greensboro289 | W 87–78 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | VMI344 | W 80–61 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Mercer227 | L 86–89 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | The Citadel325 | W 78–75 |
