Model line
Western Carolina −9.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Western Carolina 84%
Projected tempo
71.5
possessions
Site
Western Carolina home
16%Win probability84%
The model makes Western Carolina a 9.6-point favorite, winning about 84 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Mercer offense vs Western Carolina defense
| Mercer O | Stat | Western Carolina D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.5#114 | Tempo | #16268.8 |
| 53.1#99 | eFG% | #32854.9 |
| 15.0#63 | TOV% | #32314.5 |
| 32.6#100 | ORB% | #2326.3 |
| 39.2#76 | FT rate | #25737.8 |
| 8.1#66 | Block% | #3047.3 |
| 46.2#314 | Assist% | #7048.1 |
| 53.0#128 | 2P% | #30754.8 |
| 35.6#81 | 3P% | #33836.7 |
| 73.0#169 | FT% | — |
| 39.2#186 | 3PA rate | #5143.7 |
Western Carolina offense vs Mercer defense
| Western Carolina O | Stat | Mercer D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.8#162 | Tempo | #11469.5 |
| 50.4#225 | eFG% | #24152.5 |
| 16.8#189 | TOV% | #15317.0 |
| 35.4#39 | ORB% | #30333.2 |
| 31.3#275 | FT rate | #5429.7 |
| 7.7#46 | Block% | #1799.2 |
| 44.3#344 | Assist% | #4446.8 |
| 50.6#232 | 2P% | #15651.3 |
| 33.5#197 | 3P% | #31336.2 |
| 71.4#228 | FT% | — |
| 40.9#149 | 3PA rate | #9442.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Mercer
| Mon, Nov 2 | H | Reinhardt | W 90–53 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Western Carolina184 | L 73–77 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | East Tennessee St.175 | W 82–76 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Western Carolina184 | L 74–78 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Samford206 | W 89–86 |
Western Carolina
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | East Tennessee St.175 | L 67–69 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Mercer227 | W 77–73 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Furman147 | W 86–67 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Mercer227 | W 78–74 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | VMI344 | W 81–62 |
