Model line
Western Carolina −9.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Western Carolina 84%
Projected tempo
70.9
possessions
Site
Western Carolina home
16%Win probability84%
The model makes Western Carolina a 9.5-point favorite, winning about 84 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Samford offense vs Western Carolina defense
| Samford O | Stat | Western Carolina D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.4#179 | Tempo | #16268.8 |
| 53.1#101 | eFG% | #32854.9 |
| 13.4#13 | TOV% | #32314.5 |
| 25.3#333 | ORB% | #2326.3 |
| 41.9#32 | FT rate | #25737.8 |
| 10.2#254 | Block% | #3047.3 |
| 55.2#110 | Assist% | #7048.1 |
| 52.8#138 | 2P% | #30754.8 |
| 35.6#84 | 3P% | #33836.7 |
| 69.2#294 | FT% | — |
| 45.7#53 | 3PA rate | #5143.7 |
Western Carolina offense vs Samford defense
| Western Carolina O | Stat | Samford D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.8#162 | Tempo | #17968.4 |
| 50.4#225 | eFG% | #20651.9 |
| 16.8#189 | TOV% | #35613.0 |
| 35.4#39 | ORB% | #1725.7 |
| 31.3#275 | FT rate | #13032.9 |
| 7.7#46 | Block% | #3127.0 |
| 44.3#344 | Assist% | #2945.8 |
| 50.6#232 | 2P% | #11450.3 |
| 33.5#197 | 3P% | #32836.5 |
| 71.4#228 | FT% | — |
| 40.9#149 | 3PA rate | #28835.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Samford
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Furman147 | L 81–86 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | UNC Greensboro289 | W 87–78 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | VMI344 | W 80–61 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Mercer227 | L 86–89 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | The Citadel325 | W 78–75 |
Western Carolina
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | East Tennessee St.175 | L 67–69 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Mercer227 | W 77–73 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Furman147 | W 86–67 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Mercer227 | W 78–74 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | VMI344 | W 81–62 |
