Model line
Furman −11.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Furman 89%
Projected tempo
70.8
possessions
Site
Furman home
12%Win probability89%
The model makes Furman a 11.4-point favorite, winning about 89 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Mercer offense vs Furman defense
| Mercer O | Stat | Furman D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.5#114 | Tempo | #26766.5 |
| 53.1#99 | eFG% | #10950.2 |
| 15.0#63 | TOV% | #34213.7 |
| 32.6#100 | ORB% | #7228.2 |
| 39.2#76 | FT rate | #4328.9 |
| 8.1#66 | Block% | #1759.3 |
| 46.2#314 | Assist% | #5947.7 |
| 53.0#128 | 2P% | #16351.5 |
| 35.6#81 | 3P% | #7432.3 |
| 73.0#169 | FT% | — |
| 39.2#186 | 3PA rate | #9841.8 |
Furman offense vs Mercer defense
| Furman O | Stat | Mercer D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#267 | Tempo | #11469.5 |
| 54.8#46 | eFG% | #24152.5 |
| 17.8#258 | TOV% | #15317.0 |
| 30.5#179 | ORB% | #30333.2 |
| 32.7#244 | FT rate | #5429.7 |
| 10.6#278 | Block% | #1799.2 |
| 56.1#86 | Assist% | #4446.8 |
| 58.8#15 | 2P% | #15651.3 |
| 33.4#200 | 3P% | #31336.2 |
| 70.1#270 | FT% | — |
| 46.5#38 | 3PA rate | #9442.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Mercer
| Mon, Nov 2 | H | Reinhardt | W 90–53 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Western Carolina184 | L 73–77 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | East Tennessee St.175 | W 82–76 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Western Carolina184 | L 74–78 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Samford206 | W 89–86 |
Furman
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Connecticut3 | L 71–82 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | East Tennessee St.175 | W 76–61 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | UNC Greensboro289 | W 81–75 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Samford206 | W 86–81 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Western Carolina184 | L 67–86 |
