Model line
Chattanooga −10.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Chattanooga 87%
Projected tempo
70.6
possessions
Site
Chattanooga home
13%Win probability87%
The model makes Chattanooga a 10.7-point favorite, winning about 87 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
VMI offense vs Chattanooga defense
| VMI O | Stat | Chattanooga D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.6#220 | Tempo | #21867.6 |
| 47.6#324 | eFG% | #19451.7 |
| 15.3#93 | TOV% | #35013.2 |
| 25.6#330 | ORB% | #23931.7 |
| 30.6#294 | FT rate | #33242.6 |
| 10.5#276 | Block% | #2817.6 |
| 50.7#227 | Assist% | #20853.3 |
| 47.9#313 | 2P% | #19952.1 |
| 31.5#306 | 3P% | #19534.2 |
| 72.2#201 | FT% | — |
| 53.6#2 | 3PA rate | #4144.2 |
Chattanooga offense vs VMI defense
| Chattanooga O | Stat | VMI D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.6#218 | Tempo | #22067.6 |
| 54.2#60 | eFG% | #35757.0 |
| 14.4#37 | TOV% | #24315.7 |
| 21.8#357 | ORB% | #36037.2 |
| 29.7#317 | FT rate | #16934.6 |
| 7.7#37 | Block% | #3356.4 |
| 55.6#97 | Assist% | #35662.3 |
| 55.8#45 | 2P% | #35958.9 |
| 35.0#112 | 3P% | #32936.5 |
| 77.4#26 | FT% | — |
| 49.2#18 | 3PA rate | #1746.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
VMI
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | UNC Greensboro289 | L 70–84 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Chattanooga274 | L 79–86 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Samford206 | L 61–80 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Western Carolina184 | L 62–81 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | A | Wofford276 | L 76–82 |
Chattanooga
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | The Citadel325 | L 85–88 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | VMI344 | W 86–79 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | UNC Greensboro289 | L 80–85 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | The Citadel325 | W 93–72 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | Mercer227 | W 94–90 |
