Model line
Western Carolina −16.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Western Carolina 96%
Projected tempo
71.1
possessions
Site
Western Carolina home
4%Win probability96%
The model makes Western Carolina a 16.5-point favorite, winning about 96 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
VMI offense vs Western Carolina defense
| VMI O | Stat | Western Carolina D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.6#220 | Tempo | #16268.8 |
| 47.6#324 | eFG% | #32854.9 |
| 15.3#93 | TOV% | #32314.5 |
| 25.6#330 | ORB% | #2326.3 |
| 30.6#294 | FT rate | #25737.8 |
| 10.5#276 | Block% | #3047.3 |
| 50.7#227 | Assist% | #7048.1 |
| 47.9#313 | 2P% | #30754.8 |
| 31.5#306 | 3P% | #33836.7 |
| 72.2#201 | FT% | — |
| 53.6#2 | 3PA rate | #5143.7 |
Western Carolina offense vs VMI defense
| Western Carolina O | Stat | VMI D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.8#162 | Tempo | #22067.6 |
| 50.4#225 | eFG% | #35757.0 |
| 16.8#189 | TOV% | #24315.7 |
| 35.4#39 | ORB% | #36037.2 |
| 31.3#275 | FT rate | #16934.6 |
| 7.7#46 | Block% | #3356.4 |
| 44.3#344 | Assist% | #35662.3 |
| 50.6#232 | 2P% | #35958.9 |
| 33.5#197 | 3P% | #32936.5 |
| 71.4#228 | FT% | — |
| 40.9#149 | 3PA rate | #1746.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
VMI
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | UNC Greensboro289 | L 70–84 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Chattanooga274 | L 79–86 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Samford206 | L 61–80 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Western Carolina184 | L 62–81 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | A | Wofford276 | L 76–82 |
Western Carolina
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | East Tennessee St.175 | L 67–69 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Mercer227 | W 77–73 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Furman147 | W 86–67 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Mercer227 | W 78–74 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | VMI344 | W 81–62 |
