Model line
Samford −5.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Samford 71%
Projected tempo
70.1
possessions
Site
Samford home
29%Win probability71%
The model makes Samford a 5.2-point favorite, winning about 71 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
East Tennessee St. offense vs Samford defense
| East Tennessee St. O | Stat | Samford D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#266 | Tempo | #17968.4 |
| 55.3#34 | eFG% | #20651.9 |
| 15.2#79 | TOV% | #35613.0 |
| 28.3#253 | ORB% | #1725.7 |
| 35.0#179 | FT rate | #13032.9 |
| 7.5#28 | Block% | #3127.0 |
| 50.8#224 | Assist% | #2945.8 |
| 57.2#28 | 2P% | #11450.3 |
| 34.7#135 | 3P% | #32836.5 |
| 74.7#93 | FT% | — |
| 37.8#216 | 3PA rate | #28835.9 |
Samford offense vs East Tennessee St. defense
| Samford O | Stat | East Tennessee St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.4#179 | Tempo | #26666.5 |
| 53.1#101 | eFG% | #15751.0 |
| 13.4#13 | TOV% | #7118.5 |
| 25.3#333 | ORB% | #6427.9 |
| 41.9#32 | FT rate | #22436.4 |
| 10.2#254 | Block% | #6511.5 |
| 55.2#110 | Assist% | #25855.2 |
| 52.8#138 | 2P% | #22252.6 |
| 35.6#84 | 3P% | #11132.9 |
| 69.2#294 | FT% | — |
| 45.7#53 | 3PA rate | #847.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
East Tennessee St.
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Furman147 | L 61–76 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Western Carolina184 | W 69–67 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | The Citadel325 | W 83–76 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Mercer227 | L 76–82 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Wofford276 | L 69–72 |
Samford
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Furman147 | L 81–86 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | UNC Greensboro289 | W 87–78 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | VMI344 | W 80–61 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Mercer227 | L 86–89 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | The Citadel325 | W 78–75 |
