Model line
Mercer −4.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Mercer 69%
Projected tempo
70.7
possessions
Site
Mercer home
31%Win probability69%
The model makes Mercer a 4.8-point favorite, winning about 69 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
East Tennessee St. offense vs Mercer defense
| East Tennessee St. O | Stat | Mercer D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#266 | Tempo | #11469.5 |
| 55.3#34 | eFG% | #24152.5 |
| 15.2#79 | TOV% | #15317.0 |
| 28.3#253 | ORB% | #30333.2 |
| 35.0#179 | FT rate | #5429.7 |
| 7.5#28 | Block% | #1799.2 |
| 50.8#224 | Assist% | #4446.8 |
| 57.2#28 | 2P% | #15651.3 |
| 34.7#135 | 3P% | #31336.2 |
| 74.7#93 | FT% | — |
| 37.8#216 | 3PA rate | #9442.1 |
Mercer offense vs East Tennessee St. defense
| Mercer O | Stat | East Tennessee St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.5#114 | Tempo | #26666.5 |
| 53.1#99 | eFG% | #15751.0 |
| 15.0#63 | TOV% | #7118.5 |
| 32.6#100 | ORB% | #6427.9 |
| 39.2#76 | FT rate | #22436.4 |
| 8.1#66 | Block% | #6511.5 |
| 46.2#314 | Assist% | #25855.2 |
| 53.0#128 | 2P% | #22252.6 |
| 35.6#81 | 3P% | #11132.9 |
| 73.0#169 | FT% | — |
| 39.2#186 | 3PA rate | #847.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
East Tennessee St.
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Furman147 | L 61–76 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Western Carolina184 | W 69–67 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | The Citadel325 | W 83–76 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Mercer227 | L 76–82 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Wofford276 | L 69–72 |
Mercer
| Mon, Nov 2 | H | Reinhardt | W 90–53 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Western Carolina184 | L 73–77 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | East Tennessee St.175 | W 82–76 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Western Carolina184 | L 74–78 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Samford206 | W 89–86 |
