Model line
Chattanooga −3.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Chattanooga 65%
Projected tempo
70.5
possessions
Site
Chattanooga home
35%Win probability65%
The model makes Chattanooga a 3.6-point favorite, winning about 65 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Samford offense vs Chattanooga defense
| Samford O | Stat | Chattanooga D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.4#179 | Tempo | #21867.6 |
| 53.1#101 | eFG% | #19451.7 |
| 13.4#13 | TOV% | #35013.2 |
| 25.3#333 | ORB% | #23931.7 |
| 41.9#32 | FT rate | #33242.6 |
| 10.2#254 | Block% | #2817.6 |
| 55.2#110 | Assist% | #20853.3 |
| 52.8#138 | 2P% | #19952.1 |
| 35.6#84 | 3P% | #19534.2 |
| 69.2#294 | FT% | — |
| 45.7#53 | 3PA rate | #4144.2 |
Chattanooga offense vs Samford defense
| Chattanooga O | Stat | Samford D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.6#218 | Tempo | #17968.4 |
| 54.2#60 | eFG% | #20651.9 |
| 14.4#37 | TOV% | #35613.0 |
| 21.8#357 | ORB% | #1725.7 |
| 29.7#317 | FT rate | #13032.9 |
| 7.7#37 | Block% | #3127.0 |
| 55.6#97 | Assist% | #2945.8 |
| 55.8#45 | 2P% | #11450.3 |
| 35.0#112 | 3P% | #32836.5 |
| 77.4#26 | FT% | — |
| 49.2#18 | 3PA rate | #28835.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Samford
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Furman147 | L 81–86 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | UNC Greensboro289 | W 87–78 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | VMI344 | W 80–61 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Mercer227 | L 86–89 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | The Citadel325 | W 78–75 |
Chattanooga
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | The Citadel325 | L 85–88 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | VMI344 | W 86–79 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | UNC Greensboro289 | L 80–85 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | The Citadel325 | W 93–72 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | Mercer227 | W 94–90 |