Model line
Chattanooga −4.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Chattanooga 68%
Projected tempo
71.1
possessions
Site
Chattanooga home
32%Win probability68%
The model makes Chattanooga a 4.4-point favorite, winning about 68 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Mercer offense vs Chattanooga defense
| Mercer O | Stat | Chattanooga D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.5#114 | Tempo | #21867.6 |
| 53.1#99 | eFG% | #19451.7 |
| 15.0#63 | TOV% | #35013.2 |
| 32.6#100 | ORB% | #23931.7 |
| 39.2#76 | FT rate | #33242.6 |
| 8.1#66 | Block% | #2817.6 |
| 46.2#314 | Assist% | #20853.3 |
| 53.0#128 | 2P% | #19952.1 |
| 35.6#81 | 3P% | #19534.2 |
| 73.0#169 | FT% | — |
| 39.2#186 | 3PA rate | #4144.2 |
Chattanooga offense vs Mercer defense
| Chattanooga O | Stat | Mercer D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.6#218 | Tempo | #11469.5 |
| 54.2#60 | eFG% | #24152.5 |
| 14.4#37 | TOV% | #15317.0 |
| 21.8#357 | ORB% | #30333.2 |
| 29.7#317 | FT rate | #5429.7 |
| 7.7#37 | Block% | #1799.2 |
| 55.6#97 | Assist% | #4446.8 |
| 55.8#45 | 2P% | #15651.3 |
| 35.0#112 | 3P% | #31336.2 |
| 77.4#26 | FT% | — |
| 49.2#18 | 3PA rate | #9442.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Mercer
| Mon, Nov 2 | H | Reinhardt | W 90–53 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Western Carolina184 | L 73–77 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | East Tennessee St.175 | W 82–76 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Western Carolina184 | L 74–78 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Samford206 | W 89–86 |
Chattanooga
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | The Citadel325 | L 85–88 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | VMI344 | W 86–79 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | UNC Greensboro289 | L 80–85 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | The Citadel325 | W 93–72 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | Mercer227 | W 94–90 |
