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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

East Tennessee St. · #175 · SC · 0–0VMI · #344 · SC · 0–0Sat, Dec 5 · 1:00 PM ETCameron Hall · Lexington, VA
Model line
East Tennessee St. −3.7
Win probability
East Tennessee St. 65%
Projected tempo
70.3
possessions
Site
VMI home
65%Win probability35%

The model makes East Tennessee St. a 3.7-point favorite, winning about 65 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

East Tennessee St. offense vs VMI defense

East Tennessee St. OStatVMI D
66.5#266Tempo#22067.6
55.3#34eFG%#35757.0
15.2#79TOV%#24315.7
28.3#253ORB%#36037.2
35.0#179FT rate#16934.6
7.5#28Block%#3356.4
50.8#224Assist%#35662.3
57.2#282P%#35958.9
34.7#1353P%#32936.5
74.7#93FT%—
37.8#2163PA rate#1746.5

VMI offense vs East Tennessee St. defense

VMI OStatEast Tennessee St. D
67.6#220Tempo#26666.5
47.6#324eFG%#15751.0
15.3#93TOV%#7118.5
25.6#330ORB%#6427.9
30.6#294FT rate#22436.4
10.5#276Block%#6511.5
50.7#227Assist%#25855.2
47.9#3132P%#22252.6
31.5#3063P%#11132.9
72.2#201FT%—
53.6#23PA rate#847.7

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

East Tennessee St.

Mon, Mar 9NFurman147L 61–76
Sun, Mar 8NWestern Carolina184W 69–67
Sat, Mar 7NThe Citadel325W 83–76
Sat, Feb 28AMercer227L 76–82
Wed, Feb 25HWofford276L 69–72

VMI

Fri, Mar 6NUNC Greensboro289L 70–84
Sat, Feb 28AChattanooga274L 79–86
Thu, Feb 26ASamford206L 61–80
Sat, Feb 21HWestern Carolina184L 62–81
Wed, Feb 18AWofford276L 76–82