Model line
Air Force −7.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Air Force 80%
Projected tempo
69.7
possessions
Site
Air Force home
20%Win probability80%
The model makes Air Force a 7.9-point favorite, winning about 80 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Navy offense vs Air Force defense
| Navy O | Stat | Air Force D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.2#328 | Tempo | #22667.4 |
| 53.1#100 | eFG% | #35056.4 |
| 16.8#184 | TOV% | #27315.1 |
| 31.9#129 | ORB% | #21331.3 |
| 38.8#83 | FT rate | #22736.6 |
| 7.8#47 | Block% | #3166.8 |
| 61.2#22 | Assist% | #23054.2 |
| 52.7#142 | 2P% | #33356.3 |
| 35.8#68 | 3P% | #35037.6 |
| 73.6#148 | FT% | — |
| 33.1#314 | 3PA rate | #20638.8 |
Air Force offense vs Navy defense
| Air Force O | Stat | Navy D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.4#226 | Tempo | #32865.2 |
| 48.9#290 | eFG% | #4448.3 |
| 21.9#361 | TOV% | #8518.3 |
| 21.4#360 | ORB% | #4927.4 |
| 35.1#173 | FT rate | #1326.0 |
| 11.9#336 | Block% | #10310.7 |
| 55.9#92 | Assist% | #19052.7 |
| 51.1#208 | 2P% | #14151.0 |
| 30.6#328 | 3P% | #730.0 |
| 64.1#364 | FT% | — |
| 41.8#138 | 3PA rate | #2346.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Navy
| Wed, Mar 18 | A | Wake Forest82 | L 72–82 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | H | Boston University309 | L 72–73 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | Bucknell335 | W 74–69 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Colgate207 | W 85–69 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Loyola MD348 | W 78–51 |
Air Force
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Nevada77 | L 45–80 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Nevada77 | L 59–74 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Grand Canyon42 | L 60–86 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Wyoming117 | L 62–66 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | San Jose St.161 | L 80–86 |
