Model line
Air Force −4.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Air Force 67%
Projected tempo
70.2
possessions
Site
Neutral
67%Win probability33%
The model makes Air Force a 4.2-point favorite, winning about 67 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Air Force offense vs Army defense
| Air Force O | Stat | Army D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.4#226 | Tempo | #23067.3 |
| 48.9#290 | eFG% | #33255.1 |
| 21.9#361 | TOV% | #25715.4 |
| 21.4#360 | ORB% | #5327.7 |
| 35.1#173 | FT rate | #29739.6 |
| 11.9#336 | Block% | #3604.8 |
| 55.9#92 | Assist% | #21553.5 |
| 51.1#208 | 2P% | #33756.4 |
| 30.6#328 | 3P% | #28735.6 |
| 64.1#364 | FT% | — |
| 41.8#138 | 3PA rate | #10241.7 |
Army offense vs Air Force defense
| Army O | Stat | Air Force D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.3#230 | Tempo | #22667.4 |
| 49.3#275 | eFG% | #35056.4 |
| 17.2#213 | TOV% | #27315.1 |
| 29.6#218 | ORB% | #21331.3 |
| 26.8#353 | FT rate | #22736.6 |
| 11.2#312 | Block% | #3166.8 |
| 59.0#41 | Assist% | #23054.2 |
| 50.7#223 | 2P% | #33356.3 |
| 32.0#278 | 3P% | #35037.6 |
| 71.7#214 | FT% | — |
| 53.3#3 | 3PA rate | #20638.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Air Force
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Nevada77 | L 45–80 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Nevada77 | L 59–74 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Grand Canyon42 | L 60–86 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Wyoming117 | L 62–66 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | San Jose St.161 | L 80–86 |
Army
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Bucknell335 | L 55–65 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Lafayette332 | L 77–83 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Bucknell335 | L 73–75 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Navy290 | L 63–81 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | A | Loyola MD348 | W 87–77 |
