Model line
Richmond −21.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Richmond 99%
Projected tempo
70.5
possessions
Site
Richmond home
1%Win probability99%
The model makes Richmond a 21.4-point favorite, winning about 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
VMI offense vs Richmond defense
| VMI O | Stat | Richmond D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.6#220 | Tempo | #17368.5 |
| 47.6#324 | eFG% | #21452.0 |
| 15.3#93 | TOV% | #11517.7 |
| 25.6#330 | ORB% | #20331.0 |
| 30.6#294 | FT rate | #18135.1 |
| 10.5#276 | Block% | #3027.3 |
| 50.7#227 | Assist% | #7148.2 |
| 47.9#313 | 2P% | #29954.5 |
| 31.5#306 | 3P% | #10232.7 |
| 72.2#201 | FT% | — |
| 53.6#2 | 3PA rate | #2645.6 |
Richmond offense vs VMI defense
| Richmond O | Stat | VMI D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.5#173 | Tempo | #22067.6 |
| 52.7#116 | eFG% | #35757.0 |
| 14.3#33 | TOV% | #24315.7 |
| 25.0#340 | ORB% | #36037.2 |
| 36.9#134 | FT rate | #16934.6 |
| 7.7#41 | Block% | #3356.4 |
| 54.5#127 | Assist% | #35662.3 |
| 50.5#238 | 2P% | #35958.9 |
| 37.1#27 | 3P% | #32936.5 |
| 75.2#75 | FT% | — |
| 42.6#125 | 3PA rate | #1746.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
VMI
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | UNC Greensboro289 | L 70–84 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Chattanooga274 | L 79–86 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Samford206 | L 61–80 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Western Carolina184 | L 62–81 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | A | Wofford276 | L 76–82 |
Richmond
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Loyola Chicago151 | L 67–75 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Duquesne128 | L 77–79 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Dayton67 | L 60–65 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Loyola Chicago151 | L 66–69 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | St. Bonaventure158 | W 99–94 |
