Model line
Duke −42.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Duke >99%
Projected tempo
69.6
possessions
Site
Duke home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Duke a 42.3-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Army offense vs Duke defense
| Army O | Stat | Duke D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.3#230 | Tempo | #24367.0 |
| 49.3#275 | eFG% | #945.9 |
| 17.2#213 | TOV% | #11217.7 |
| 29.6#218 | ORB% | #824.9 |
| 26.8#353 | FT rate | #223.0 |
| 11.2#312 | Block% | #12110.3 |
| 59.0#41 | Assist% | #16251.7 |
| 50.7#223 | 2P% | #1446.0 |
| 32.0#278 | 3P% | #2130.5 |
| 71.7#214 | FT% | — |
| 53.3#3 | 3PA rate | #2945.2 |
Duke offense vs Army defense
| Duke O | Stat | Army D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.0#243 | Tempo | #23067.3 |
| 56.6#14 | eFG% | #33255.1 |
| 15.9#128 | TOV% | #25715.4 |
| 38.3#5 | ORB% | #5327.7 |
| 37.9#104 | FT rate | #29739.6 |
| 9.3#161 | Block% | #3604.8 |
| 59.0#42 | Assist% | #21553.5 |
| 60.3#6 | 2P% | #33756.4 |
| 34.6#141 | 3P% | #28735.6 |
| 73.2#162 | FT% | — |
| 44.3#82 | 3PA rate | #10241.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Army
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Bucknell335 | L 55–65 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Lafayette332 | L 77–83 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Bucknell335 | L 73–75 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Navy290 | L 63–81 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | A | Loyola MD348 | W 87–77 |
Duke
| Sun, Mar 29 | N | Connecticut3 | L 72–73 |
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | St. John's25 | W 80–75 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | TCU50 | W 81–58 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Siena271 | W 71–65 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Virginia14 | W 74–70 |
