Model line
Alabama −33.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Alabama >99%
Projected tempo
72.9
possessions
Site
Alabama home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Alabama a 33.2-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Samford offense vs Alabama defense
| Samford O | Stat | Alabama D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.4#179 | Tempo | #574.5 |
| 53.1#101 | eFG% | #7349.2 |
| 13.4#13 | TOV% | #35812.8 |
| 25.3#333 | ORB% | #28832.7 |
| 41.9#32 | FT rate | #10231.9 |
| 10.2#254 | Block% | #6811.4 |
| 55.2#110 | Assist% | #4246.6 |
| 52.8#138 | 2P% | #4548.3 |
| 35.6#84 | 3P% | #17233.9 |
| 69.2#294 | FT% | — |
| 45.7#53 | 3PA rate | #31735.0 |
Alabama offense vs Samford defense
| Alabama O | Stat | Samford D |
|---|---|---|
| 74.5#5 | Tempo | #17968.4 |
| 55.4#31 | eFG% | #20651.9 |
| 13.1#9 | TOV% | #35613.0 |
| 32.2#115 | ORB% | #1725.7 |
| 36.9#131 | FT rate | #13032.9 |
| 12.0#340 | Block% | #3127.0 |
| 53.4#153 | Assist% | #2945.8 |
| 57.5#25 | 2P% | #11450.3 |
| 35.7#72 | 3P% | #32836.5 |
| 76.5#41 | FT% | — |
| 53.7#1 | 3PA rate | #28835.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Samford
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Furman147 | L 81–86 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | UNC Greensboro289 | W 87–78 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | VMI344 | W 80–61 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Mercer227 | L 86–89 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | The Citadel325 | W 78–75 |
Alabama
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Michigan24 | L 77–90 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Texas Tech12 | W 90–65 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Hofstra148 | W 90–70 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Ole Miss49 | L 79–80 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Auburn27 | W 96–84 |
