Model line
Michigan St. −33.7
2025–26 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Michigan St. >99%
Projected tempo
70.0
possessions
Site
Michigan St. home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Michigan St. a 33.7-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Colgate offense vs Michigan St. defense
| Colgate O | Stat | Michigan St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.9#249 | Tempo | #24667.0 |
| 53.3#87 | eFG% | #5548.7 |
| 14.6#45 | TOV% | #29714.9 |
| 26.6#307 | ORB% | #122.5 |
| 29.7#318 | FT rate | #6530.2 |
| 6.3#5 | Block% | #1713.7 |
| 51.4#207 | Assist% | #29656.5 |
| 53.2#118 | 2P% | #4748.4 |
| 35.6#80 | 3P% | #10132.7 |
| 74.7#92 | FT% | — |
| 35.0#274 | 3PA rate | #2146.3 |
Michigan St. offense vs Colgate defense
| Michigan St. O | Stat | Colgate D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.0#246 | Tempo | #24966.9 |
| 54.1#67 | eFG% | #22552.2 |
| 17.2#218 | TOV% | #26215.3 |
| 37.9#9 | ORB% | #12229.3 |
| 36.0#151 | FT rate | #14333.8 |
| 8.0#58 | Block% | #2428.3 |
| 67.9#2 | Assist% | #24354.7 |
| 53.7#93 | 2P% | #20652.2 |
| 36.5#39 | 3P% | #23534.8 |
| 76.5#42 | FT% | — |
| 36.7#236 | 3PA rate | #10341.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Colgate
| Sun, Mar 8 | A | Lehigh265 | L 69–76 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | Loyola MD348 | W 90–77 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Navy290 | L 69–85 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Lafayette332 | L 69–70 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Loyola MD348 | W 101–98 |
Michigan St.
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Connecticut3 | L 63–67 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Louisville15 | W 77–69 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | North Dakota St.170 | W 92–67 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | UCLA18 | L 84–88 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | A | Michigan24 | L 80–90 |
