Model line
Tennessee −35.2
2025–26 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Tennessee >99%
Projected tempo
70.5
possessions
Site
Tennessee home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Tennessee a 35.2-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Mercer offense vs Tennessee defense
| Mercer O | Stat | Tennessee D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.5#114 | Tempo | #23167.3 |
| 53.1#99 | eFG% | #3447.5 |
| 15.0#63 | TOV% | #19816.4 |
| 32.6#100 | ORB% | #5627.7 |
| 39.2#76 | FT rate | #21035.9 |
| 8.1#66 | Block% | #8011.2 |
| 46.2#314 | Assist% | #2645.3 |
| 53.0#128 | 2P% | #6849.2 |
| 35.6#81 | 3P% | #1730.3 |
| 73.0#169 | FT% | — |
| 39.2#186 | 3PA rate | #3644.7 |
Tennessee offense vs Mercer defense
| Tennessee O | Stat | Mercer D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.3#231 | Tempo | #11469.5 |
| 51.8#157 | eFG% | #24152.5 |
| 17.4#230 | TOV% | #15317.0 |
| 45.1#1 | ORB% | #30333.2 |
| 38.1#100 | FT rate | #5429.7 |
| 9.3#169 | Block% | #1799.2 |
| 59.9#34 | Assist% | #4446.8 |
| 52.3#160 | 2P% | #15651.3 |
| 33.8#185 | 3P% | #31336.2 |
| 69.4#290 | FT% | — |
| 31.8#332 | 3PA rate | #9442.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Mercer
| Mon, Nov 2 | H | Reinhardt | W 90–53 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Western Carolina184 | L 73–77 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | East Tennessee St.175 | W 82–76 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Western Carolina184 | L 74–78 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Samford206 | W 89–86 |
Tennessee
| Sun, Mar 29 | N | Michigan24 | L 62–95 |
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Iowa St.6 | W 76–62 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Virginia14 | W 79–72 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Miami OH108 | W 78–56 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Vanderbilt21 | L 68–75 |
