Rating
-20.2
#359
Latest -20.2 (#359) from 1 model run. A point is added each time the pipeline runs.
Finished games show the result and the WAB it earned. Upcoming games show the model line and the WAB at stake: gained with a win / lost with a loss.
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result / line | Win prob | WAB | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon, Nov 2 | SE Baptist | H | — | — | — | 6:00 PM ET → |
| Fri, Nov 6 | FIU187 | A | +19.9 | 2% | +0.23 / −0.77 | 5:00 PM ET → |
| Mon, Nov 9 | Baptist (Fl) | H | — | — | — | 6:00 PM ET → |
| Thu, Nov 12 | Alabama A&M313 | A | +10.7 | 13% | +0.04 / −0.96 | 7:00 PM ET → |
| Fri, Nov 13 | Cleveland St.284 | N | +5.9 | 27% | +0.01 / −0.99 | 3:00 PM ET → |
| Tue, Nov 17 | Green Bay210 | H | +4.2 | 33% | +0.01 / −0.99 | 7:00 PM ET → |
| Sun, Nov 22 | South Alabama244 | A | +14.8 | 6% | +0.10 / −0.90 | 3:00 PM ET → |
| Wed, Nov 25 | Northwestern St.296 | A | +12.0 | 10% | +0.06 / −0.94 | 6:00 PM ET → |
| Sun, Nov 29 | Florida St.64 | N | +25.6 | <1% | +0.44 / −0.56 | 3:00 PM ET → |
| Wed, Dec 2 | South Florida92 | A | +32.0 | <1% | +0.70 / −0.30 | 7:00 PM ET → |
| Sat, Dec 5 | Pensacola Chrs | H | — | — | — | 1:00 PM ET → |
| Sun, Dec 13 | Navy290 | H | −0.6 | 52% | +0.00 / −1.00 | 1:00 PM ET → |
| Wed, Dec 16 | Alabama St.295 | H | −1.0 | 54% | +0.00 / −1.00 | 6:00 PM ET → |
| Sat, Dec 19 | West Georgia322 | A | +10.6 | 13% | +0.04 / −0.96 | 2:00 PM ET → |
| Mon, Dec 21 | North Alabama315 | A | +11.1 | 12% | +0.05 / −0.95 | 7:00 PM ET → |
| Mon, Dec 28 | Tarleton St.178 | A | +17.9 | 3% | +0.17 / −0.83 | 8:00 PM ET → |
| Thu, Dec 31 | Eastern Kentucky283 | H | −0.5 | 52% | +0.00 / −1.00 | 7:00 PM ET → |
| Sat, Jan 2 | Austin Peay195 | H | +6.3 | 25% | +0.02 / −0.98 | 2:00 PM ET → |
| Sat, Jan 9 | Queens182 | H | +6.3 | 25% | +0.01 / −0.99 | 2:30 PM ET → |
| Thu, Jan 14 | North Florida321 | H | −2.6 | 61% | +0.00 / −1.00 | 6:00 PM ET → |
| Sat, Jan 16 | Jacksonville230 | H | +2.4 | 40% | +0.00 / −1.00 | 2:00 PM ET → |
| Thu, Jan 21 | Florida Gulf Coast275 | A | +13.1 | 8% | +0.07 / −0.93 | 7:00 PM ET → |
| Sat, Jan 23 | Stetson267 | A | +13.1 | 8% | +0.07 / −0.93 | 1:00 PM ET → |
| Thu, Jan 28 | Lipscomb199 | H | +5.1 | 30% | +0.01 / −0.99 | 6:00 PM ET → |
| Sat, Jan 30 | Bellarmine305 | H | −1.5 | 56% | +0.00 / −1.00 | 1:00 PM ET → |
| Sat, Feb 6 | Queens182 | A | +20.3 | 2% | +0.24 / −0.76 | 3:00 PM ET → |
| Thu, Feb 11 | Jacksonville230 | A | +15.1 | 6% | +0.11 / −0.89 | 7:00 PM ET → |
| Sat, Feb 13 | North Florida321 | A | +11.0 | 12% | +0.05 / −0.95 | 2:00 PM ET → |
| Thu, Feb 18 | Stetson267 | H | +0.6 | 48% | +0.00 / −1.00 | 6:00 PM ET → |
| Sat, Feb 20 | Florida Gulf Coast275 | H | +0.4 | 49% | +0.00 / −1.00 | 1:00 PM ET → |
| Thu, Feb 25 | Bellarmine305 | A | +11.1 | 12% | +0.05 / −0.95 | 7:00 PM ET → |
| Sat, Feb 27 | Lipscomb199 | A | +17.9 | 3% | +0.17 / −0.83 | 5:00 PM ET → |
| Projected total finals as played, the rest by the model | 6.6–25.4 | −19.69 | ||||
Projected wins add up each game's win probability. WAB uses the current model ratings. Non-Division I games do not count toward WAB.