Model line
Oregon −3.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Oregon 64%
Projected tempo
70.4
possessions
Site
Neutral
36%Win probability64%
The model makes Oregon a 3.5-point favorite, winning about 64 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Oregon St. offense vs Oregon defense
| Oregon St. O | Stat | Oregon D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.2#286 | Tempo | #27066.5 |
| 50.5#216 | eFG% | #15350.9 |
| 17.7#252 | TOV% | #23915.7 |
| 26.8#304 | ORB% | #27432.3 |
| 43.1#21 | FT rate | #10532.0 |
| 9.3#165 | Block% | #5911.7 |
| 61.2#23 | Assist% | #19952.9 |
| 48.8#288 | 2P% | #16651.5 |
| 35.0#120 | 3P% | #14633.4 |
| 77.2#30 | FT% | — |
| 44.3#85 | 3PA rate | #9542.1 |
Oregon offense vs Oregon St. defense
| Oregon O | Stat | Oregon St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#270 | Tempo | #28666.2 |
| 49.5#266 | eFG% | #11850.3 |
| 17.6#247 | TOV% | #26815.3 |
| 32.3#113 | ORB% | #26332.1 |
| 35.0#181 | FT rate | #18035.1 |
| 9.5#188 | Block% | #10410.7 |
| 59.0#43 | Assist% | #27255.7 |
| 50.5#237 | 2P% | #14251.0 |
| 32.1#277 | 3P% | #11532.9 |
| 73.0#170 | FT% | — |
| 42.8#120 | 3PA rate | #10941.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Oregon St.
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Gonzaga17 | L 56–65 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | San Francisco165 | W 78–77 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Santa Clara86 | L 72–93 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | San Diego157 | W 92–82 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Pepperdine154 | W 83–73 |
Oregon
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Maryland46 | L 60–70 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Washington78 | W 85–79 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Illinois7 | L 54–80 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Northwestern85 | L 62–63 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Wisconsin35 | W 85–71 |
