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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

UTSA · #245 · Amer · 0–0South Alabama · #244 · SB · 0–0Sat, Dec 5 · 3:00 PM ETESPN+Mitchell Center · Mobile, AL
Model line
South Alabama −6.4
Win probability
South Alabama 75%
Projected tempo
70.1
possessions
Site
South Alabama home
25%Win probability75%

The model makes South Alabama a 6.4-point favorite, winning about 75 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

UTSA offense vs South Alabama defense

UTSA OStatSouth Alabama D
69.6#112Tempo#31065.7
44.8#360eFG%#10650.1
17.5#238TOV%#9318.1
30.2#193ORB%#22131.4
29.5#321FT rate#925.4
13.1#358Block%#12510.3
42.8#351Assist%#36471.1
45.5#3532P%#13250.8
29.2#3513P%#12933.1
69.8#276FT%—
41.3#1443PA rate#164.6

South Alabama offense vs UTSA defense

South Alabama OStatUTSA D
65.7#310Tempo#11269.6
52.6#121eFG%#27853.3
13.0#8TOV%#31214.7
25.0#341ORB%#36338.7
38.5#90FT rate#13633.3
11.3#323Block%#5411.9
45.9#320Assist%#28156.0
53.2#1232P%#27153.8
34.5#1513P%#25335.1
65.5#357FT%—
36.5#2393PA rate#5943.3

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

UTSA

Sun, Mar 8ARice235L 71–80
Sun, Mar 1HWichita St.80L 67–84
Wed, Feb 25HEast Carolina185L 81–82
Sun, Feb 22ATulsa104L 74–100
Wed, Feb 18HFlorida Atlantic118L 52–60

South Alabama

Tue, Mar 17AAuburn27L 67–78
Fri, Mar 6NGeorgia Southern307L 85–94
Fri, Feb 27HSouthern Miss236L 55–68
Wed, Feb 25HLouisiana Monroe341W 89–54
Sat, Feb 21HTroy152W 65–54