Model line
SMU −22.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
SMU 99%
Projected tempo
69.9
possessions
Site
SMU home
1%Win probability99%
The model makes SMU a 22.9-point favorite, winning about 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
South Alabama offense vs SMU defense
| South Alabama O | Stat | SMU D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.7#310 | Tempo | #7270.6 |
| 52.6#121 | eFG% | #19151.6 |
| 13.0#8 | TOV% | #16816.8 |
| 25.0#341 | ORB% | #23531.6 |
| 38.5#90 | FT rate | #10832.1 |
| 11.3#323 | Block% | #9111.0 |
| 45.9#320 | Assist% | #34660.9 |
| 53.2#123 | 2P% | #19452.0 |
| 34.5#151 | 3P% | #18734.1 |
| 65.5#357 | FT% | — |
| 36.5#239 | 3PA rate | #947.7 |
SMU offense vs South Alabama defense
| SMU O | Stat | South Alabama D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.6#72 | Tempo | #31065.7 |
| 55.6#28 | eFG% | #10650.1 |
| 15.7#116 | TOV% | #9318.1 |
| 35.4#37 | ORB% | #22131.4 |
| 30.4#301 | FT rate | #925.4 |
| 7.5#33 | Block% | #12510.3 |
| 54.9#120 | Assist% | #36471.1 |
| 55.6#48 | 2P% | #13250.8 |
| 37.1#28 | 3P% | #12933.1 |
| 74.3#115 | FT% | — |
| 35.9#251 | 3PA rate | #164.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
South Alabama
| Tue, Mar 17 | A | Auburn27 | L 67–78 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Georgia Southern307 | L 85–94 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Southern Miss236 | L 55–68 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Louisiana Monroe341 | W 89–54 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Troy152 | W 65–54 |
SMU
| Wed, Mar 18 | N | Miami OH108 | L 79–89 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Louisville15 | L 58–62 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Syracuse76 | W 86–69 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Florida St.64 | L 78–91 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Miami FL13 | L 69–77 |
