Model line
Arkansas St. −3.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Arkansas St. 63%
Projected tempo
73.1
possessions
Site
Neutral
63%Win probability37%
The model makes Arkansas St. a 3.2-point favorite, winning about 63 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Arkansas St. offense vs Southern Utah defense
| Arkansas St. O | Stat | Southern Utah D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.5#15 | Tempo | #6170.8 |
| 51.7#161 | eFG% | #27653.2 |
| 19.8#343 | TOV% | #30414.8 |
| 38.2#7 | ORB% | #31133.6 |
| 39.1#79 | FT rate | #5529.8 |
| 10.2#251 | Block% | #1819.2 |
| 55.8#94 | Assist% | #4646.9 |
| 53.6#99 | 2P% | #18051.7 |
| 32.9#235 | 3P% | #35738.0 |
| 73.3#157 | FT% | — |
| 44.9#69 | 3PA rate | #36329.5 |
Southern Utah offense vs Arkansas St. defense
| Southern Utah O | Stat | Arkansas St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.8#61 | Tempo | #1572.5 |
| 50.7#204 | eFG% | #11550.3 |
| 20.3#352 | TOV% | #29214.9 |
| 28.8#240 | ORB% | #3727.0 |
| 33.1#235 | FT rate | #23537.0 |
| 10.2#255 | Block% | #2967.3 |
| 49.6#253 | Assist% | #15351.4 |
| 51.4#199 | 2P% | #12750.8 |
| 33.0#231 | 3P% | #10932.9 |
| 71.5#223 | FT% | — |
| 35.5#261 | 3PA rate | #20738.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Arkansas St.
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Georgia Southern307 | L 77–80 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Louisiana215 | W 81–58 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Southern Miss236 | W 89–84 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Louisiana Monroe341 | W 102–94 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | Louisiana215 | W 79–62 |
Southern Utah
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | UT Arlington232 | L 63–69 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Cal Baptist216 | L 75–82 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | Utah Valley120 | L 88–92 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Utah Tech254 | W 81–67 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Abilene Christian242 | L 83–87 |
