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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

South Dakota St. · #237 · Sum · 0–0Eastern Kentucky · #283 · UAC · 0–0Fri, Dec 18 · 7:00 PM ETESPN+Baptist Health Arena · Richmond, KY
Model line
Eastern Kentucky −5.1
Win probability
Eastern Kentucky 71%
Projected tempo
70.5
possessions
Site
Eastern Kentucky home
29%Win probability71%

The model makes Eastern Kentucky a 5.1-point favorite, winning about 71 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

South Dakota St. offense vs Eastern Kentucky defense

South Dakota St. OStatEastern Kentucky D
67.9#203Tempo#16368.7
52.0#148eFG%#34556.1
16.1#148TOV%#30314.8
30.3#190ORB%#24031.7
29.7#319FT rate#27238.5
7.8#48Block%#2368.4
51.3#209Assist%#24054.5
52.7#1432P%#34857.4
34.0#1753P%#31136.2
72.0#208FT%—
38.8#1933PA rate#10641.6

Eastern Kentucky offense vs South Dakota St. defense

Eastern Kentucky OStatSouth Dakota St. D
68.7#163Tempo#20367.9
52.1#144eFG%#20351.8
16.9#191TOV%#32214.5
32.5#103ORB%#1125.1
30.7#286FT rate#16334.5
8.4#90Block%#3077.1
53.3#157Assist%#19152.7
51.6#1872P%#21752.4
35.0#1133P%#18934.1
72.4#193FT%—
50.8#103PA rate#1347.0

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

South Dakota St.

Thu, Mar 5NSt. Thomas162L 67–80
Sat, Feb 28ASouth Dakota270L 70–75
Thu, Feb 26AKansas City292W 73–59
Sat, Feb 21HNorth Dakota328W 91–83
Wed, Feb 18HNorth Dakota St.170L 66–74

Eastern Kentucky

Wed, Mar 4NStetson267L 76–92
Sat, Feb 28HLipscomb199L 77–80
Wed, Feb 25HQueens182L 79–96
Sat, Feb 21ABellarmine305W 95–92
Wed, Feb 18HWest Georgia322W 81–80