Model line
Arkansas St. −9.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Arkansas St. 85%
Projected tempo
72.4
possessions
Site
Arkansas St. home
15%Win probability85%
The model makes Arkansas St. a 9.7-point favorite, winning about 85 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Little Rock offense vs Arkansas St. defense
| Little Rock O | Stat | Arkansas St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.6#219 | Tempo | #1572.5 |
| 49.4#271 | eFG% | #11550.3 |
| 18.4#290 | TOV% | #29214.9 |
| 31.5#142 | ORB% | #3727.0 |
| 27.7#345 | FT rate | #23537.0 |
| 5.6#1 | Block% | #2967.3 |
| 52.2#188 | Assist% | #15351.4 |
| 47.9#312 | 2P% | #12750.8 |
| 35.3#100 | 3P% | #10932.9 |
| 68.0#326 | FT% | — |
| 31.0#339 | 3PA rate | #20738.8 |
Arkansas St. offense vs Little Rock defense
| Arkansas St. O | Stat | Little Rock D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.5#15 | Tempo | #21967.6 |
| 51.7#161 | eFG% | #20051.8 |
| 19.8#343 | TOV% | #7218.5 |
| 38.2#7 | ORB% | #35736.6 |
| 39.1#79 | FT rate | #13433.1 |
| 10.2#251 | Block% | #3912.5 |
| 55.8#94 | Assist% | #21853.7 |
| 53.6#99 | 2P% | #18651.9 |
| 32.9#235 | 3P% | #21134.4 |
| 73.3#157 | FT% | — |
| 44.9#69 | 3PA rate | #15140.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Little Rock
| Wed, Mar 4 | N | Lindenwood303 | L 62–72 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Southern Indiana324 | W 89–70 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Morehead St.329 | L 70–76 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Southeast Missouri266 | L 65–70 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | H | Tennessee Martin312 | W 67–65 |
Arkansas St.
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Georgia Southern307 | L 77–80 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Louisiana215 | W 81–58 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Southern Miss236 | W 89–84 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Louisiana Monroe341 | W 102–94 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | Louisiana215 | W 79–62 |
