Model line
Tarleton St. −1.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Tarleton St. 57%
Projected tempo
71.1
possessions
Site
Texas Southern home
57%Win probability43%
The model makes Tarleton St. a 1.8-point favorite, winning about 57 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Tarleton St. offense vs Texas Southern defense
| Tarleton St. O | Stat | Texas Southern D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.2#87 | Tempo | #7470.6 |
| 48.3#307 | eFG% | #24252.5 |
| 20.0#348 | TOV% | #18916.5 |
| 31.5#143 | ORB% | #21131.2 |
| 41.9#33 | FT rate | #34544.0 |
| 9.6#203 | Block% | #14010.0 |
| 41.7#355 | Assist% | #26255.3 |
| 48.2#303 | 2P% | #25453.5 |
| 32.5#257 | 3P% | #19234.1 |
| 74.2#121 | FT% | — |
| 24.2#365 | 3PA rate | #6543.2 |
Texas Southern offense vs Tarleton St. defense
| Texas Southern O | Stat | Tarleton St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.6#74 | Tempo | #8770.2 |
| 49.7#254 | eFG% | #29053.6 |
| 18.5#299 | TOV% | #323.4 |
| 28.8#241 | ORB% | #34035.1 |
| 38.2#97 | FT rate | #35947.7 |
| 7.7#44 | Block% | #1599.7 |
| 43.2#349 | Assist% | #26955.5 |
| 49.8#263 | 2P% | #29354.4 |
| 33.1#224 | 3P% | #24234.9 |
| 71.9#211 | FT% | — |
| 32.5#323 | 3PA rate | #13840.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Tarleton St.
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Abilene Christian242 | L 78–84 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | UT Arlington232 | L 60–65 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Cal Baptist216 | L 67–82 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Utah Valley120 | L 72–79 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Utah Tech254 | L 72–80 |
Texas Southern
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Alabama A&M313 | L 74–85 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | Prairie View A&M301 | L 59–70 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Jackson St.314 | W 82–57 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Alcorn St.340 | W 92–87 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Mississippi Valley St.365 | L 71–72 |
