Model line
Portland −2.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Portland 61%
Projected tempo
70.5
possessions
Site
Neutral
39%Win probability61%
The model makes Portland a 2.6-point favorite, winning about 61 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
UT Arlington offense vs Portland defense
| UT Arlington O | Stat | Portland D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#274 | Tempo | #10569.7 |
| 47.2#332 | eFG% | #25652.7 |
| 20.7#354 | TOV% | #15417.0 |
| 34.9#51 | ORB% | #28432.5 |
| 42.5#24 | FT rate | #11932.6 |
| 9.5#192 | Block% | #2088.8 |
| 46.4#310 | Assist% | #36366.7 |
| 48.8#289 | 2P% | #16051.4 |
| 29.1#352 | 3P% | #30736.1 |
| 72.3#198 | FT% | — |
| 30.7#346 | 3PA rate | #2545.6 |
Portland offense vs UT Arlington defense
| Portland O | Stat | UT Arlington D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7#105 | Tempo | #27466.5 |
| 51.2#184 | eFG% | #3047.4 |
| 19.7#342 | TOV% | #9918.0 |
| 28.1#264 | ORB% | #16830.1 |
| 34.4#199 | FT rate | #31240.9 |
| 6.4#10 | Block% | #1779.3 |
| 61.6#20 | Assist% | #8949.1 |
| 54.7#65 | 2P% | #13450.9 |
| 29.9#344 | 3P% | #126.9 |
| 74.0#138 | FT% | — |
| 35.4#266 | 3PA rate | #35332.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
UT Arlington
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Utah Valley120 | L 65–67 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Southern Utah246 | W 69–63 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Abilene Christian242 | W 64–57 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Tarleton St.178 | W 65–60 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Cal Baptist216 | L 56–68 |
Portland
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | San Francisco165 | L 65–82 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Washington St.131 | W 74–68 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Pepperdine154 | W 77–68 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | San Diego157 | W 87–74 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Gonzaga17 | L 48–89 |
