Model line
Mississippi St. −0.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Mississippi St. 53%
Projected tempo
71.4
possessions
Site
Neutral
47%Win probability53%
The model makes Mississippi St. a 0.6-point favorite, winning about 53 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Wake Forest offense vs Mississippi St. defense
| Wake Forest O | Stat | Mississippi St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.4#125 | Tempo | #3271.5 |
| 52.6#125 | eFG% | #15250.9 |
| 15.5#108 | TOV% | #36112.8 |
| 30.1#196 | ORB% | #18930.7 |
| 35.1#176 | FT rate | #11232.3 |
| 8.4#97 | Block% | #8511.1 |
| 53.5#152 | Assist% | #17252.1 |
| 53.8#91 | 2P% | #14051.0 |
| 34.2#167 | 3P% | #17533.9 |
| 77.9#20 | FT% | — |
| 44.0#91 | 3PA rate | #18239.5 |
Mississippi St. offense vs Wake Forest defense
| Mississippi St. O | Stat | Wake Forest D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.5#32 | Tempo | #12569.4 |
| 51.5#172 | eFG% | #20751.9 |
| 16.1#146 | TOV% | #11017.8 |
| 29.8#209 | ORB% | #30433.2 |
| 30.7#288 | FT rate | #20435.7 |
| 11.0#303 | Block% | #8711.1 |
| 45.1#333 | Assist% | #30057.1 |
| 53.4#110 | 2P% | #27553.9 |
| 32.4#261 | 3P% | #12233.0 |
| 66.0#353 | FT% | — |
| 40.1#168 | 3PA rate | #2046.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Wake Forest
| Sun, Mar 22 | H | Illinois St.116 | L 75–78 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | H | Navy290 | W 82–72 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Clemson44 | L 62–71 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Virginia Tech48 | W 95–89 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | California94 | W 80–73 |
Mississippi St.
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Auburn27 | L 61–79 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Georgia40 | L 96–102 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Florida2 | L 74–108 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Missouri34 | L 64–88 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Alabama16 | L 75–100 |
