Model line
Belmont −1.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Belmont 57%
Projected tempo
70.0
possessions
Site
Neutral
43%Win probability57%
The model makes Belmont a 1.7-point favorite, winning about 57 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Yale offense vs Belmont defense
| Yale O | Stat | Belmont D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.6#315 | Tempo | #9270.0 |
| 55.6#29 | eFG% | #9249.9 |
| 14.0#25 | TOV% | #12317.4 |
| 34.2#62 | ORB% | #11929.2 |
| 35.1#177 | FT rate | #7830.7 |
| 9.1#156 | Block% | #7111.3 |
| 56.0#91 | Assist% | #23854.5 |
| 53.6#106 | 2P% | #4948.5 |
| 39.4#4 | 3P% | #19434.2 |
| 74.6#101 | FT% | — |
| 36.1#249 | 3PA rate | #649.1 |
Belmont offense vs Yale defense
| Belmont O | Stat | Yale D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.0#92 | Tempo | #31565.6 |
| 61.0#1 | eFG% | #19951.7 |
| 18.1#273 | TOV% | #20616.3 |
| 28.8#237 | ORB% | #14629.7 |
| 32.5#249 | FT rate | #2026.8 |
| 9.4#172 | Block% | #1499.9 |
| 61.9#18 | Assist% | #19352.7 |
| 60.6#5 | 2P% | #13550.9 |
| 41.0#1 | 3P% | #24835.0 |
| 68.6#307 | FT% | — |
| 45.7#51 | 3PA rate | #3145.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Yale
| Tue, Mar 17 | H | UNC Wilmington107 | L 67–68 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | Penn123 | L 84–88 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Cornell196 | W 88–76 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Princeton155 | W 78–53 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Columbia202 | W 60–54 |
Belmont
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Drake137 | L 79–100 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | Illinois St.116 | L 74–81 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Evansville273 | W 98–64 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Indiana St.212 | W 87–70 |
| Sun, Feb 15 | A | Murray St.97 | W 87–70 |
