Model line
Yale −4.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Yale 68%
Projected tempo
67.9
possessions
Site
Neutral
32%Win probability68%
The model makes Yale a 4.5-point favorite, winning about 68 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Appalachian St. offense vs Yale defense
| Appalachian St. O | Stat | Yale D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.1#352 | Tempo | #31565.6 |
| 49.9#238 | eFG% | #19951.7 |
| 15.3#84 | TOV% | #20616.3 |
| 32.0#122 | ORB% | #14629.7 |
| 39.1#78 | FT rate | #2026.8 |
| 8.8#128 | Block% | #1499.9 |
| 47.8#292 | Assist% | #19352.7 |
| 53.6#98 | 2P% | #13550.9 |
| 30.4#335 | 3P% | #24835.0 |
| 64.5#362 | FT% | — |
| 45.9#47 | 3PA rate | #3145.0 |
Yale offense vs Appalachian St. defense
| Yale O | Stat | Appalachian St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.6#315 | Tempo | #35264.1 |
| 55.6#29 | eFG% | #3147.5 |
| 14.0#25 | TOV% | #33414.0 |
| 34.2#62 | ORB% | #9929.0 |
| 35.1#177 | FT rate | #8731.2 |
| 9.1#156 | Block% | #12710.2 |
| 56.0#91 | Assist% | #13450.8 |
| 53.6#106 | 2P% | #2747.0 |
| 39.4#4 | 3P% | #7032.2 |
| 74.6#101 | FT% | — |
| 36.1#249 | 3PA rate | #11241.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Appalachian St.
| Mon, Nov 2 | N | Merrimack211 | W 63–49 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Southern Miss236 | L 73–86 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | A | Texas St.113 | L 57–60 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Georgia Southern307 | W 89–74 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | H | Marshall241 | L 93–94 |
Yale
| Tue, Mar 17 | H | UNC Wilmington107 | L 67–68 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | Penn123 | L 84–88 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Cornell196 | W 88–76 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Princeton155 | W 78–53 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Columbia202 | W 60–54 |
