Model line
UCF −5.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UCF 73%
Projected tempo
71.3
possessions
Site
Neutral
27%Win probability73%
The model makes UCF a 5.8-point favorite, winning about 73 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Boston College offense vs UCF defense
| Boston College O | Stat | UCF D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.3#282 | Tempo | #7570.6 |
| 47.0#337 | eFG% | #22152.1 |
| 15.4#96 | TOV% | #24215.7 |
| 28.3#251 | ORB% | #9728.8 |
| 32.4#250 | FT rate | #17734.9 |
| 10.0#235 | Block% | #2578.1 |
| 47.4#295 | Assist% | #14651.0 |
| 49.1#277 | 2P% | #23752.9 |
| 29.4#347 | 3P% | #17933.9 |
| 65.3#358 | FT% | — |
| 42.4#128 | 3PA rate | #18839.4 |
UCF offense vs Boston College defense
| UCF O | Stat | Boston College D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.6#75 | Tempo | #28266.3 |
| 52.6#124 | eFG% | #6248.9 |
| 16.0#143 | TOV% | #29314.9 |
| 35.0#48 | ORB% | #8928.6 |
| 30.5#299 | FT rate | #16634.6 |
| 9.4#181 | Block% | #6011.6 |
| 53.7#144 | Assist% | #8048.6 |
| 51.7#185 | 2P% | #8549.6 |
| 36.2#50 | 3P% | #5831.9 |
| 72.9#173 | FT% | — |
| 34.8#280 | 3PA rate | #19639.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Boston College
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Notre Dame72 | W 77–69 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Virginia Tech48 | L 63–72 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Miami FL13 | L 54–76 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Wake Forest82 | W 68–67 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | SMU59 | L 70–94 |
UCF
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | UCLA18 | L 71–75 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Arizona5 | L 59–81 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Cincinnati30 | W 66–65 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | A | West Virginia51 | L 62–77 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Oklahoma St.52 | L 104–111 |
