Model line
Texas St. −21.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Texas St. 99%
Projected tempo
70.3
possessions
Site
Texas St. home
1%Win probability99%
The model makes Texas St. a 21.1-point favorite, winning about 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Texas Southern offense vs Texas St. defense
| Texas Southern O | Stat | Texas St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.6#74 | Tempo | #23267.3 |
| 49.7#254 | eFG% | #21652.0 |
| 18.5#299 | TOV% | #7618.5 |
| 28.8#241 | ORB% | #8528.4 |
| 38.2#97 | FT rate | #28939.1 |
| 7.7#44 | Block% | #11110.6 |
| 43.2#349 | Assist% | #1343.8 |
| 49.8#263 | 2P% | #15251.1 |
| 33.1#224 | 3P% | #29435.7 |
| 71.9#211 | FT% | — |
| 32.5#323 | 3PA rate | #25237.5 |
Texas St. offense vs Texas Southern defense
| Texas St. O | Stat | Texas Southern D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.3#232 | Tempo | #7470.6 |
| 50.0#237 | eFG% | #24252.5 |
| 18.6#307 | TOV% | #18916.5 |
| 33.9#72 | ORB% | #21131.2 |
| 34.0#210 | FT rate | #34544.0 |
| 10.1#250 | Block% | #14010.0 |
| 48.2#282 | Assist% | #26255.3 |
| 50.5#239 | 2P% | #25453.5 |
| 32.2#272 | 3P% | #19234.1 |
| 76.2#48 | FT% | — |
| 24.6#364 | 3PA rate | #6543.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Texas Southern
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Alabama A&M313 | L 74–85 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | Prairie View A&M301 | L 59–70 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Jackson St.314 | W 82–57 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Alcorn St.340 | W 92–87 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Mississippi Valley St.365 | L 71–72 |
Texas St.
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Southern Miss236 | L 77–81 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Appalachian St.234 | W 60–57 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Louisiana215 | L 54–67 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | South Alabama244 | W 90–82 |
| Sat, Feb 14 | H | Louisiana Monroe341 | W 95–84 |
