Model line
Texas St. −7.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Texas St. 78%
Projected tempo
69.6
possessions
Site
Texas St. home
22%Win probability78%
The model makes Texas St. a 7.2-point favorite, winning about 78 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
McNeese St. offense vs Texas St. defense
| McNeese St. O | Stat | Texas St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.4#279 | Tempo | #23267.3 |
| 50.7#201 | eFG% | #21652.0 |
| 14.2#28 | TOV% | #7618.5 |
| 35.1#46 | ORB% | #8528.4 |
| 37.4#119 | FT rate | #28939.1 |
| 6.7#13 | Block% | #11110.6 |
| 49.0#264 | Assist% | #1343.8 |
| 52.3#155 | 2P% | #15251.1 |
| 31.7#296 | 3P% | #29435.7 |
| 74.4#107 | FT% | — |
| 35.2#271 | 3PA rate | #25237.5 |
Texas St. offense vs McNeese St. defense
| Texas St. O | Stat | McNeese St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.3#232 | Tempo | #27966.4 |
| 50.0#237 | eFG% | #7749.3 |
| 18.6#307 | TOV% | #124.5 |
| 33.9#72 | ORB% | #33834.9 |
| 34.0#210 | FT rate | #32542.1 |
| 10.1#250 | Block% | #415.9 |
| 48.2#282 | Assist% | #30157.2 |
| 50.5#239 | 2P% | #8249.5 |
| 32.2#272 | 3P% | #10032.7 |
| 76.2#48 | FT% | — |
| 24.6#364 | 3PA rate | #1546.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
McNeese St.
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Vanderbilt21 | L 68–78 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Stephen F. Austin139 | W 76–59 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | UT Rio Grande Valley251 | W 84–80 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | A | Nicholls St.287 | W 75–65 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | LSU N Orleans | W 66–63 |
Texas St.
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Southern Miss236 | L 77–81 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Appalachian St.234 | W 60–57 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Louisiana215 | L 54–67 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | South Alabama244 | W 90–82 |
| Sat, Feb 14 | H | Louisiana Monroe341 | W 95–84 |
