Model line
Texas St. −19.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Texas St. 98%
Projected tempo
69.4
possessions
Site
Texas St. home
2%Win probability98%
The model makes Texas St. a 19.2-point favorite, winning about 98 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Incarnate Word offense vs Texas St. defense
| Incarnate Word O | Stat | Texas St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.4#320 | Tempo | #23267.3 |
| 50.2#227 | eFG% | #21652.0 |
| 17.2#215 | TOV% | #7618.5 |
| 32.1#121 | ORB% | #8528.4 |
| 34.0#207 | FT rate | #28939.1 |
| 9.8#222 | Block% | #11110.6 |
| 44.2#345 | Assist% | #1343.8 |
| 47.7#317 | 2P% | #15251.1 |
| 36.1#54 | 3P% | #29435.7 |
| 71.2#231 | FT% | — |
| 39.1#188 | 3PA rate | #25237.5 |
Texas St. offense vs Incarnate Word defense
| Texas St. O | Stat | Incarnate Word D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.3#232 | Tempo | #32065.4 |
| 50.0#237 | eFG% | #31554.5 |
| 18.6#307 | TOV% | #23515.7 |
| 33.9#72 | ORB% | #25632.0 |
| 34.0#210 | FT rate | #31841.6 |
| 10.1#250 | Block% | #3097.0 |
| 48.2#282 | Assist% | #16651.8 |
| 50.5#239 | 2P% | #32556.0 |
| 32.2#272 | 3P% | #21034.4 |
| 76.2#48 | FT% | — |
| 24.6#364 | 3PA rate | #30735.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Incarnate Word
| Mon, Mar 2 | H | Stephen F. Austin139 | L 68–76 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Lamar250 | W 72–60 |
| Mon, Feb 23 | A | Northwestern St.296 | L 49–54 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Texas A&M Commerce323 | W 82–73 |
| Mon, Feb 16 | H | LSU N Orleans | L 64–78 |
Texas St.
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Southern Miss236 | L 77–81 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Appalachian St.234 | W 60–57 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Louisiana215 | L 54–67 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | South Alabama244 | W 90–82 |
| Sat, Feb 14 | H | Louisiana Monroe341 | W 95–84 |
