Model line
Texas St. −1.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Texas St. 55%
Projected tempo
70.6
possessions
Site
UTSA home
55%Win probability45%
The model makes Texas St. a 1.1-point favorite, winning about 55 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Texas St. offense vs UTSA defense
| Texas St. O | Stat | UTSA D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.3#232 | Tempo | #11269.6 |
| 50.0#237 | eFG% | #27853.3 |
| 18.6#307 | TOV% | #31214.7 |
| 33.9#72 | ORB% | #36338.7 |
| 34.0#210 | FT rate | #13633.3 |
| 10.1#250 | Block% | #5411.9 |
| 48.2#282 | Assist% | #28156.0 |
| 50.5#239 | 2P% | #27153.8 |
| 32.2#272 | 3P% | #25335.1 |
| 76.2#48 | FT% | — |
| 24.6#364 | 3PA rate | #5943.3 |
UTSA offense vs Texas St. defense
| UTSA O | Stat | Texas St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.6#112 | Tempo | #23267.3 |
| 44.8#360 | eFG% | #21652.0 |
| 17.5#238 | TOV% | #7618.5 |
| 30.2#193 | ORB% | #8528.4 |
| 29.5#321 | FT rate | #28939.1 |
| 13.1#358 | Block% | #11110.6 |
| 42.8#351 | Assist% | #1343.8 |
| 45.5#353 | 2P% | #15251.1 |
| 29.2#351 | 3P% | #29435.7 |
| 69.8#276 | FT% | — |
| 41.3#144 | 3PA rate | #25237.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Texas St.
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Southern Miss236 | L 77–81 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Appalachian St.234 | W 60–57 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Louisiana215 | L 54–67 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | South Alabama244 | W 90–82 |
| Sat, Feb 14 | H | Louisiana Monroe341 | W 95–84 |
UTSA
| Sun, Mar 8 | A | Rice235 | L 71–80 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Wichita St.80 | L 67–84 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | East Carolina185 | L 81–82 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | A | Tulsa104 | L 74–100 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | H | Florida Atlantic118 | L 52–60 |
