Model line
Texas St. −14.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Texas St. 94%
Projected tempo
70.8
possessions
Site
Texas St. home
6%Win probability94%
The model makes Texas St. a 14.9-point favorite, winning about 94 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Southern Miss offense vs Texas St. defense
| Southern Miss O | Stat | Texas St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.6#111 | Tempo | #23267.3 |
| 49.0#289 | eFG% | #21652.0 |
| 18.4#292 | TOV% | #7618.5 |
| 32.5#107 | ORB% | #8528.4 |
| 43.2#19 | FT rate | #28939.1 |
| 10.7#286 | Block% | #11110.6 |
| 43.8#347 | Assist% | #1343.8 |
| 51.3#201 | 2P% | #15251.1 |
| 28.9#356 | 3P% | #29435.7 |
| 73.6#150 | FT% | — |
| 28.7#358 | 3PA rate | #25237.5 |
Texas St. offense vs Southern Miss defense
| Texas St. O | Stat | Southern Miss D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.3#232 | Tempo | #11169.6 |
| 50.0#237 | eFG% | #18051.4 |
| 18.6#307 | TOV% | #10917.8 |
| 33.9#72 | ORB% | #9528.8 |
| 34.0#210 | FT rate | #34343.6 |
| 10.1#250 | Block% | #11510.5 |
| 48.2#282 | Assist% | #4847.0 |
| 50.5#239 | 2P% | #15151.1 |
| 32.2#272 | 3P% | #22034.5 |
| 76.2#48 | FT% | — |
| 24.6#364 | 3PA rate | #18739.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Southern Miss
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Troy152 | L 70–78 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Appalachian St.234 | W 86–73 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Texas St.113 | W 81–77 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | James Madison143 | W 86–80 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | A | South Alabama244 | W 68–55 |
Texas St.
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Southern Miss236 | L 77–81 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Appalachian St.234 | W 60–57 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Louisiana215 | L 54–67 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | South Alabama244 | W 90–82 |
| Sat, Feb 14 | H | Louisiana Monroe341 | W 95–84 |
