Model line
New Mexico −2.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
New Mexico 60%
Projected tempo
70.9
possessions
Site
Neutral
60%Win probability40%
The model makes New Mexico a 2.5-point favorite, winning about 60 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
New Mexico offense vs Oregon St. defense
| New Mexico O | Stat | Oregon St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.6#70 | Tempo | #28666.2 |
| 53.9#70 | eFG% | #11850.3 |
| 15.0#64 | TOV% | #26815.3 |
| 30.5#181 | ORB% | #26332.1 |
| 35.9#156 | FT rate | #18035.1 |
| 8.6#114 | Block% | #10410.7 |
| 52.7#171 | Assist% | #27255.7 |
| 53.7#94 | 2P% | #14251.0 |
| 36.2#49 | 3P% | #11532.9 |
| 72.7#179 | FT% | — |
| 41.9#137 | 3PA rate | #10941.5 |
Oregon St. offense vs New Mexico defense
| Oregon St. O | Stat | New Mexico D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.2#286 | Tempo | #7070.6 |
| 50.5#216 | eFG% | #9049.8 |
| 17.7#252 | TOV% | #4419.1 |
| 26.8#304 | ORB% | #6227.8 |
| 43.1#21 | FT rate | #16834.6 |
| 9.3#165 | Block% | #1929.1 |
| 61.2#23 | Assist% | #24854.8 |
| 48.8#288 | 2P% | #26353.7 |
| 35.0#120 | 3P% | #1430.3 |
| 77.2#30 | FT% | — |
| 44.3#85 | 3PA rate | #1047.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
New Mexico
| Thu, Apr 2 | N | Tulsa104 | L 69–74 |
| Tue, Mar 24 | H | Saint Joseph's125 | W 84–69 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | H | George Washington103 | W 86–61 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | H | Sam Houston St.171 | W 107–83 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | San Diego St.73 | L 62–64 |
Oregon St.
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Gonzaga17 | L 56–65 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | San Francisco165 | W 78–77 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Santa Clara86 | L 72–93 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | San Diego157 | W 92–82 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Pepperdine154 | W 83–73 |
