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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Southern Miss · #236 · SB · 0–0Oregon St. · #93 · P12 · 0–0Sat, Dec 5 · 8:30 PM ETCWGill Coliseum · Corvallis, OR
Model line
Oregon St. −20.1
Win probability
Oregon St. 98%
Projected tempo
71.0
possessions
Site
Oregon St. home
2%Win probability98%

The model makes Oregon St. a 20.1-point favorite, winning about 98 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Southern Miss offense vs Oregon St. defense

Southern Miss OStatOregon St. D
69.6#111Tempo#28666.2
49.0#289eFG%#11850.3
18.4#292TOV%#26815.3
32.5#107ORB%#26332.1
43.2#19FT rate#18035.1
10.7#286Block%#10410.7
43.8#347Assist%#27255.7
51.3#2012P%#14251.0
28.9#3563P%#11532.9
73.6#150FT%—
28.7#3583PA rate#10941.5

Oregon St. offense vs Southern Miss defense

Oregon St. OStatSouthern Miss D
66.2#286Tempo#11169.6
50.5#216eFG%#18051.4
17.7#252TOV%#10917.8
26.8#304ORB%#9528.8
43.1#21FT rate#34343.6
9.3#165Block%#11510.5
61.2#23Assist%#4847.0
48.8#2882P%#15151.1
35.0#1203P%#22034.5
77.2#30FT%—
44.3#853PA rate#18739.4

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Southern Miss

Sun, Mar 8NTroy152L 70–78
Sat, Mar 7NAppalachian St.234W 86–73
Fri, Mar 6NTexas St.113W 81–77
Thu, Mar 5NJames Madison143W 86–80
Fri, Feb 27ASouth Alabama244W 68–55

Oregon St.

Mon, Mar 9NGonzaga17L 56–65
Sun, Mar 8NSan Francisco165W 78–77
Sat, Feb 28ASanta Clara86L 72–93
Wed, Feb 25HSan Diego157W 92–82
Sat, Feb 21HPepperdine154W 83–73