Model line
Oregon St. −25.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Oregon St. >99%
Projected tempo
70.5
possessions
Site
Oregon St. home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Oregon St. a 25.0-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Texas A&M Commerce offense vs Oregon St. defense
| Texas A&M Commerce O | Stat | Oregon St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.5#175 | Tempo | #28666.2 |
| 49.2#286 | eFG% | #11850.3 |
| 19.2#330 | TOV% | #26815.3 |
| 25.7#329 | ORB% | #26332.1 |
| 32.0#257 | FT rate | #18035.1 |
| 10.7#287 | Block% | #10410.7 |
| 62.4#14 | Assist% | #27255.7 |
| 51.2#207 | 2P% | #14251.0 |
| 31.3#313 | 3P% | #11532.9 |
| 67.9#328 | FT% | — |
| 46.2#44 | 3PA rate | #10941.5 |
Oregon St. offense vs Texas A&M Commerce defense
| Oregon St. O | Stat | Texas A&M Commerce D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.2#286 | Tempo | #17568.5 |
| 50.5#216 | eFG% | #26752.9 |
| 17.7#252 | TOV% | #15817.0 |
| 26.8#304 | ORB% | #29332.8 |
| 43.1#21 | FT rate | #16434.5 |
| 9.3#165 | Block% | #2208.6 |
| 61.2#23 | Assist% | #28056.0 |
| 48.8#288 | 2P% | #14451.0 |
| 35.0#120 | 3P% | #34737.3 |
| 77.2#30 | FT% | — |
| 44.3#85 | 3PA rate | #23538.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Texas A&M Commerce
| Mon, Mar 2 | A | Texas A&M Corpus Chris203 | L 71–84 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | UT Rio Grande Valley251 | L 55–63 |
| Mon, Feb 23 | H | Houston Christian253 | L 68–69 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Incarnate Word302 | L 73–82 |
| Mon, Feb 16 | H | Southeastern Louisiana269 | W 70–53 |
Oregon St.
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Gonzaga17 | L 56–65 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | San Francisco165 | W 78–77 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Santa Clara86 | L 72–93 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | San Diego157 | W 92–82 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Pepperdine154 | W 83–73 |
