Model line
Gonzaga −37.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Gonzaga >99%
Projected tempo
70.6
possessions
Site
Gonzaga home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Gonzaga a 37.3-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Incarnate Word offense vs Gonzaga defense
| Incarnate Word O | Stat | Gonzaga D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.4#320 | Tempo | #8670.2 |
| 50.2#227 | eFG% | #1546.3 |
| 17.2#215 | TOV% | #2220.0 |
| 32.1#121 | ORB% | #1625.7 |
| 34.0#207 | FT rate | #8230.9 |
| 9.8#222 | Block% | #8411.1 |
| 44.2#345 | Assist% | #19452.8 |
| 47.7#317 | 2P% | #2146.6 |
| 36.1#54 | 3P% | #2430.6 |
| 71.2#231 | FT% | — |
| 39.1#188 | 3PA rate | #7542.8 |
Gonzaga offense vs Incarnate Word defense
| Gonzaga O | Stat | Incarnate Word D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.2#86 | Tempo | #32065.4 |
| 55.6#26 | eFG% | #31554.5 |
| 13.6#16 | TOV% | #23515.7 |
| 34.8#52 | ORB% | #25632.0 |
| 31.0#282 | FT rate | #31841.6 |
| 6.0#3 | Block% | #3097.0 |
| 57.5#62 | Assist% | #16651.8 |
| 58.2#19 | 2P% | #32556.0 |
| 33.3#210 | 3P% | #21034.4 |
| 70.7#247 | FT% | — |
| 30.8#342 | 3PA rate | #30735.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Incarnate Word
| Mon, Mar 2 | H | Stephen F. Austin139 | L 68–76 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Lamar250 | W 72–60 |
| Mon, Feb 23 | A | Northwestern St.296 | L 49–54 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Texas A&M Commerce323 | W 82–73 |
| Mon, Feb 16 | H | LSU N Orleans | L 64–78 |
Gonzaga
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Texas10 | L 68–74 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Kennesaw St.146 | W 73–64 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Santa Clara86 | W 79–68 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Oregon St.93 | W 65–56 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Saint Mary's74 | L 59–70 |
