Model line
UC Irvine −13.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UC Irvine 92%
Projected tempo
71.6
possessions
Site
UC Irvine home
8%Win probability92%
The model makes UC Irvine a 13.4-point favorite, winning about 92 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Fresno St. offense vs UC Irvine defense
| Fresno St. O | Stat | UC Irvine D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.4#119 | Tempo | #6370.8 |
| 50.6#206 | eFG% | #1145.9 |
| 18.1#277 | TOV% | #5918.8 |
| 27.9#271 | ORB% | #21231.2 |
| 33.8#216 | FT rate | #1926.7 |
| 9.8#219 | Block% | #1114.9 |
| 49.9#242 | Assist% | #24954.8 |
| 52.3#154 | 2P% | #143.1 |
| 32.1#275 | 3P% | #16833.7 |
| 75.1#76 | FT% | — |
| 40.9#146 | 3PA rate | #23638.0 |
UC Irvine offense vs Fresno St. defense
| UC Irvine O | Stat | Fresno St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.8#63 | Tempo | #11969.4 |
| 49.5#270 | eFG% | #18551.5 |
| 17.8#263 | TOV% | #8918.2 |
| 31.0#166 | ORB% | #18530.6 |
| 35.9#159 | FT rate | #3728.6 |
| 9.1#153 | Block% | #3236.6 |
| 55.1#113 | Assist% | #15851.5 |
| 49.1#281 | 2P% | #32155.7 |
| 33.6#194 | 3P% | #2730.7 |
| 69.7#280 | FT% | — |
| 28.0#360 | 3PA rate | #4744.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Fresno St.
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Colorado St.83 | L 63–67 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Grand Canyon42 | L 60–85 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | San Jose St.161 | W 82–68 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Boise St.71 | L 53–69 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | Colorado St.83 | L 70–74 |
UC Irvine
| Tue, Mar 17 | H | UNLV89 | L 72–75 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Hawaii132 | L 64–71 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Cal St. Northridge190 | W 93–78 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | UC Davis188 | W 79–69 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | Cal Poly159 | W 107–85 |
