Model line
Fresno St. −3.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Fresno St. 64%
Projected tempo
71.1
possessions
Site
Neutral
36%Win probability64%
The model makes Fresno St. a 3.4-point favorite, winning about 64 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
South Dakota St. offense vs Fresno St. defense
| South Dakota St. O | Stat | Fresno St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.9#203 | Tempo | #11969.4 |
| 52.0#148 | eFG% | #18551.5 |
| 16.1#148 | TOV% | #8918.2 |
| 30.3#190 | ORB% | #18530.6 |
| 29.7#319 | FT rate | #3728.6 |
| 7.8#48 | Block% | #3236.6 |
| 51.3#209 | Assist% | #15851.5 |
| 52.7#143 | 2P% | #32155.7 |
| 34.0#175 | 3P% | #2730.7 |
| 72.0#208 | FT% | — |
| 38.8#193 | 3PA rate | #4744.0 |
Fresno St. offense vs South Dakota St. defense
| Fresno St. O | Stat | South Dakota St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.4#119 | Tempo | #20367.9 |
| 50.6#206 | eFG% | #20351.8 |
| 18.1#277 | TOV% | #32214.5 |
| 27.9#271 | ORB% | #1125.1 |
| 33.8#216 | FT rate | #16334.5 |
| 9.8#219 | Block% | #3077.1 |
| 49.9#242 | Assist% | #19152.7 |
| 52.3#154 | 2P% | #21752.4 |
| 32.1#275 | 3P% | #18934.1 |
| 75.1#76 | FT% | — |
| 40.9#146 | 3PA rate | #1347.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
South Dakota St.
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | St. Thomas162 | L 67–80 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | South Dakota270 | L 70–75 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Kansas City292 | W 73–59 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | North Dakota328 | W 91–83 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | H | North Dakota St.170 | L 66–74 |
Fresno St.
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Colorado St.83 | L 63–67 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Grand Canyon42 | L 60–85 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | San Jose St.161 | W 82–68 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Boise St.71 | L 53–69 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | Colorado St.83 | L 70–74 |
