Model line
Fresno St. −3.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Fresno St. 66%
Projected tempo
70.2
possessions
Site
Neutral
34%Win probability66%
The model makes Fresno St. a 3.9-point favorite, winning about 66 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
South Alabama offense vs Fresno St. defense
| South Alabama O | Stat | Fresno St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.7#310 | Tempo | #11969.4 |
| 52.6#121 | eFG% | #18551.5 |
| 13.0#8 | TOV% | #8918.2 |
| 25.0#341 | ORB% | #18530.6 |
| 38.5#90 | FT rate | #3728.6 |
| 11.3#323 | Block% | #3236.6 |
| 45.9#320 | Assist% | #15851.5 |
| 53.2#123 | 2P% | #32155.7 |
| 34.5#151 | 3P% | #2730.7 |
| 65.5#357 | FT% | — |
| 36.5#239 | 3PA rate | #4744.0 |
Fresno St. offense vs South Alabama defense
| Fresno St. O | Stat | South Alabama D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.4#119 | Tempo | #31065.7 |
| 50.6#206 | eFG% | #10650.1 |
| 18.1#277 | TOV% | #9318.1 |
| 27.9#271 | ORB% | #22131.4 |
| 33.8#216 | FT rate | #925.4 |
| 9.8#219 | Block% | #12510.3 |
| 49.9#242 | Assist% | #36471.1 |
| 52.3#154 | 2P% | #13250.8 |
| 32.1#275 | 3P% | #12933.1 |
| 75.1#76 | FT% | — |
| 40.9#146 | 3PA rate | #164.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
South Alabama
| Tue, Mar 17 | A | Auburn27 | L 67–78 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Georgia Southern307 | L 85–94 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Southern Miss236 | L 55–68 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Louisiana Monroe341 | W 89–54 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Troy152 | W 65–54 |
Fresno St.
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Colorado St.83 | L 63–67 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Grand Canyon42 | L 60–85 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | San Jose St.161 | W 82–68 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Boise St.71 | L 53–69 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | Colorado St.83 | L 70–74 |
