Model line
Fresno St. −9.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Fresno St. 85%
Projected tempo
71.3
possessions
Site
Fresno St. home
16%Win probability85%
The model makes Fresno St. a 9.7-point favorite, winning about 85 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Georgia St. offense vs Fresno St. defense
| Georgia St. O | Stat | Fresno St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.8#158 | Tempo | #11969.4 |
| 44.2#362 | eFG% | #18551.5 |
| 15.9#131 | TOV% | #8918.2 |
| 27.7#278 | ORB% | #18530.6 |
| 37.2#123 | FT rate | #3728.6 |
| 8.7#121 | Block% | #3236.6 |
| 50.6#228 | Assist% | #15851.5 |
| 42.9#365 | 2P% | #32155.7 |
| 30.6#331 | 3P% | #2730.7 |
| 78.6#11 | FT% | — |
| 42.4#129 | 3PA rate | #4744.0 |
Fresno St. offense vs Georgia St. defense
| Fresno St. O | Stat | Georgia St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.4#119 | Tempo | #15868.8 |
| 50.6#206 | eFG% | #13350.6 |
| 18.1#277 | TOV% | #19416.4 |
| 27.9#271 | ORB% | #30833.6 |
| 33.8#216 | FT rate | #17634.9 |
| 9.8#219 | Block% | #2438.3 |
| 49.9#242 | Assist% | #15551.4 |
| 52.3#154 | 2P% | #15351.2 |
| 32.1#275 | 3P% | #12333.1 |
| 75.1#76 | FT% | — |
| 40.9#146 | 3PA rate | #19939.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Georgia St.
| Tue, Mar 3 | N | Louisiana215 | L 75–84 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Old Dominion218 | L 73–81 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Coastal Carolina240 | L 71–76 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | James Madison143 | L 65–80 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | H | Georgia Southern307 | W 66–64 |
Fresno St.
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Colorado St.83 | L 63–67 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Grand Canyon42 | L 60–85 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | San Jose St.161 | W 82–68 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Boise St.71 | L 53–69 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | Colorado St.83 | L 70–74 |
