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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

North Texas · #114 · Amer · 0–0Boise St. · #71 · P12 · 0–0Sat, Nov 28 · 3:30 PM ETMountain America Center · Idaho Falls, ID
Model line
Boise St. −4.6
Win probability
Boise St. 69%
Projected tempo
69.1
possessions
Site
Neutral
31%Win probability69%

The model makes Boise St. a 4.6-point favorite, winning about 69 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

North Texas offense vs Boise St. defense

North Texas OStatBoise St. D
66.0#297Tempo#26166.6
46.0#349eFG%#25052.7
16.7#177TOV%#31814.5
33.5#79ORB%#323.6
39.6#66FT rate#10732.1
11.2#315Block%#3445.9
50.5#232Assist%#2345.1
47.4#3292P%#24553.3
28.7#3583P%#20834.4
70.0#275FT%—
32.3#3253PA rate#26636.8

Boise St. offense vs North Texas defense

Boise St. OStatNorth Texas D
66.6#261Tempo#29766.0
52.2#134eFG%#4748.4
16.9#190TOV%#821.3
33.2#85ORB%#27832.4
42.7#22FT rate#34945.1
9.8#217Block%#2213.2
49.5#255Assist%#10149.4
52.7#1392P%#9249.8
34.3#1553P%#3230.9
78.7#9FT%—
43.1#1073PA rate#21438.6

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

North Texas

Fri, Mar 13NTulsa104L 84–90
Thu, Mar 12NFlorida Atlantic118W 74–70
Wed, Mar 4HRice235W 62–58
Sun, Mar 1AUAB124W 62–58
Wed, Feb 25ACharlotte112L 79–80

Boise St.

Wed, Mar 11NSan Jose St.161L 74–84
Sat, Mar 7AColorado St.83W 78–67
Tue, Mar 3HSan Diego St.73W 86–77
Sat, Feb 28AFresno St.180W 69–53
Tue, Feb 24HWyoming117W 72–62