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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Western Illinois · #363 · OVC · 0–0Canisius · #339 · MC · 0–0Sun, Nov 22 · 1:00 PM ETESPN+Koessler Athletic Center · Buffalo, NY
Model line
Canisius −10.4
Win probability
Canisius 86%
Projected tempo
69.2
possessions
Site
Canisius home
14%Win probability86%

The model makes Canisius a 10.4-point favorite, winning about 86 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Western Illinois offense vs Canisius defense

Western Illinois OStatCanisius D
67.3#233Tempo#34964.3
44.5#361eFG%#22452.2
17.5#240TOV%#22316.0
27.0#297ORB%#14729.8
37.7#111FT rate#18335.2
11.1#311Block%#2258.5
37.0#365Assist%#29356.5
43.5#3612P%#28554.3
30.9#3243P%#11833.0
66.2#352FT%—
33.3#3123PA rate#4544.0

Canisius offense vs Western Illinois defense

Canisius OStatWestern Illinois D
64.3#349Tempo#23367.3
46.3#348eFG%#30654.2
19.6#340TOV%#30114.9
29.3#224ORB%#33534.8
31.4#270FT rate#17334.8
9.7#206Block%#3555.2
55.4#103Assist%#11249.9
44.0#3592P%#30354.6
33.3#2073P%#29135.6
71.9#210FT%—
39.5#1813PA rate#32534.6

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Western Illinois

Sat, Feb 28HLindenwood303L 69–91
Thu, Feb 26ASIU Edwardsville281L 47–67
Sat, Feb 21HMorehead St.329L 59–81
Thu, Feb 19HSouthern Indiana324L 70–77
Thu, Feb 12HLittle Rock219L 58–77

Canisius

Sun, Mar 1HQuinnipiac249L 63–67
Fri, Feb 27HMerrimack211W 67–62
Sun, Feb 22AMount St. Mary's299L 47–68
Fri, Feb 20ARider355W 72–66
Sun, Feb 15HManhattan331L 65–69