Model line
Hawaii −11.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Hawaii 88%
Projected tempo
71.3
possessions
Site
Hawaii home
12%Win probability88%
The model makes Hawaii a 11.0-point favorite, winning about 88 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Portland offense vs Hawaii defense
| Portland O | Stat | Hawaii D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7#105 | Tempo | #1772.4 |
| 51.2#184 | eFG% | #1946.8 |
| 19.7#342 | TOV% | #16516.8 |
| 28.1#264 | ORB% | #1325.3 |
| 34.4#199 | FT rate | #20035.6 |
| 6.4#10 | Block% | #1509.8 |
| 61.6#20 | Assist% | #439.7 |
| 54.7#65 | 2P% | #3747.5 |
| 29.9#344 | 3P% | #1230.3 |
| 74.0#138 | FT% | — |
| 35.4#266 | 3PA rate | #35232.3 |
Hawaii offense vs Portland defense
| Hawaii O | Stat | Portland D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.4#17 | Tempo | #10569.7 |
| 52.0#146 | eFG% | #25652.7 |
| 18.8#313 | TOV% | #15417.0 |
| 31.3#151 | ORB% | #28432.5 |
| 41.4#40 | FT rate | #11932.6 |
| 8.7#122 | Block% | #2088.8 |
| 49.8#244 | Assist% | #36366.7 |
| 54.9#60 | 2P% | #16051.4 |
| 31.7#290 | 3P% | #30736.1 |
| 73.5#152 | FT% | — |
| 39.8#174 | 3PA rate | #2545.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Portland
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | San Francisco165 | L 65–82 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Washington St.131 | W 74–68 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Pepperdine154 | W 77–68 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | San Diego157 | W 87–74 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Gonzaga17 | L 48–89 |
Hawaii
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Arkansas23 | L 78–97 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | UC Irvine109 | W 71–64 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Cal St. Fullerton213 | W 78–63 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Long Beach St.264 | L 75–84 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | UC Riverside223 | W 93–74 |
