Model line
Valparaiso −5.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Valparaiso 71%
Projected tempo
70.8
possessions
Site
Neutral
29%Win probability71%
The model makes Valparaiso a 5.1-point favorite, winning about 71 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Southern Miss offense vs Valparaiso defense
| Southern Miss O | Stat | Valparaiso D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.6#111 | Tempo | #29366.1 |
| 49.0#289 | eFG% | #13050.5 |
| 18.4#292 | TOV% | #16316.9 |
| 32.5#107 | ORB% | #16930.1 |
| 43.2#19 | FT rate | #18235.1 |
| 10.7#286 | Block% | #14310.0 |
| 43.8#347 | Assist% | #10949.8 |
| 51.3#201 | 2P% | #19151.9 |
| 28.9#356 | 3P% | #6932.1 |
| 73.6#150 | FT% | — |
| 28.7#358 | 3PA rate | #26337.0 |
Valparaiso offense vs Southern Miss defense
| Valparaiso O | Stat | Southern Miss D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.1#293 | Tempo | #11169.6 |
| 47.6#325 | eFG% | #18051.4 |
| 15.7#117 | TOV% | #10917.8 |
| 32.5#109 | ORB% | #9528.8 |
| 39.1#80 | FT rate | #34343.6 |
| 8.5#106 | Block% | #11510.5 |
| 48.8#271 | Assist% | #4847.0 |
| 45.8#349 | 2P% | #15151.1 |
| 33.9#182 | 3P% | #22034.5 |
| 70.9#242 | FT% | — |
| 36.8#235 | 3PA rate | #18739.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Southern Miss
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Troy152 | L 70–78 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Appalachian St.234 | W 86–73 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Texas St.113 | W 81–77 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | James Madison143 | W 86–80 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | A | South Alabama244 | W 68–55 |
Valparaiso
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Bradley183 | L 84–90 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Indiana St.212 | W 63–62 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Evansville273 | L 79–80 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Drake137 | W 74–71 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Illinois Chicago105 | W 71–67 |
