Model line
South Dakota St. −1.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
South Dakota St. 58%
Projected tempo
69.9
possessions
Site
South Dakota St. home
42%Win probability58%
The model makes South Dakota St. a 1.9-point favorite, winning about 58 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Valparaiso offense vs South Dakota St. defense
| Valparaiso O | Stat | South Dakota St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.1#293 | Tempo | #20367.9 |
| 47.6#325 | eFG% | #20351.8 |
| 15.7#117 | TOV% | #32214.5 |
| 32.5#109 | ORB% | #1125.1 |
| 39.1#80 | FT rate | #16334.5 |
| 8.5#106 | Block% | #3077.1 |
| 48.8#271 | Assist% | #19152.7 |
| 45.8#349 | 2P% | #21752.4 |
| 33.9#182 | 3P% | #18934.1 |
| 70.9#242 | FT% | — |
| 36.8#235 | 3PA rate | #1347.0 |
South Dakota St. offense vs Valparaiso defense
| South Dakota St. O | Stat | Valparaiso D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.9#203 | Tempo | #29366.1 |
| 52.0#148 | eFG% | #13050.5 |
| 16.1#148 | TOV% | #16316.9 |
| 30.3#190 | ORB% | #16930.1 |
| 29.7#319 | FT rate | #18235.1 |
| 7.8#48 | Block% | #14310.0 |
| 51.3#209 | Assist% | #10949.8 |
| 52.7#143 | 2P% | #19151.9 |
| 34.0#175 | 3P% | #6932.1 |
| 72.0#208 | FT% | — |
| 38.8#193 | 3PA rate | #26337.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Valparaiso
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Bradley183 | L 84–90 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Indiana St.212 | W 63–62 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Evansville273 | L 79–80 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Drake137 | W 74–71 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Illinois Chicago105 | W 71–67 |
South Dakota St.
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | St. Thomas162 | L 67–80 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | South Dakota270 | L 70–75 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Kansas City292 | W 73–59 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | North Dakota328 | W 91–83 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | H | North Dakota St.170 | L 66–74 |
