Model line
Valparaiso −22.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Valparaiso 99%
Projected tempo
69.5
possessions
Site
Valparaiso home
1%Win probability99%
The model makes Valparaiso a 22.3-point favorite, winning about 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Western Illinois offense vs Valparaiso defense
| Western Illinois O | Stat | Valparaiso D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.3#233 | Tempo | #29366.1 |
| 44.5#361 | eFG% | #13050.5 |
| 17.5#240 | TOV% | #16316.9 |
| 27.0#297 | ORB% | #16930.1 |
| 37.7#111 | FT rate | #18235.1 |
| 11.1#311 | Block% | #14310.0 |
| 37.0#365 | Assist% | #10949.8 |
| 43.5#361 | 2P% | #19151.9 |
| 30.9#324 | 3P% | #6932.1 |
| 66.2#352 | FT% | — |
| 33.3#312 | 3PA rate | #26337.0 |
Valparaiso offense vs Western Illinois defense
| Valparaiso O | Stat | Western Illinois D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.1#293 | Tempo | #23367.3 |
| 47.6#325 | eFG% | #30654.2 |
| 15.7#117 | TOV% | #30114.9 |
| 32.5#109 | ORB% | #33534.8 |
| 39.1#80 | FT rate | #17334.8 |
| 8.5#106 | Block% | #3555.2 |
| 48.8#271 | Assist% | #11249.9 |
| 45.8#349 | 2P% | #30354.6 |
| 33.9#182 | 3P% | #29135.6 |
| 70.9#242 | FT% | — |
| 36.8#235 | 3PA rate | #32534.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Western Illinois
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Lindenwood303 | L 69–91 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | SIU Edwardsville281 | L 47–67 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Morehead St.329 | L 59–81 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | H | Southern Indiana324 | L 70–77 |
| Thu, Feb 12 | H | Little Rock219 | L 58–77 |
Valparaiso
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Bradley183 | L 84–90 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Indiana St.212 | W 63–62 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Evansville273 | L 79–80 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Drake137 | W 74–71 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Illinois Chicago105 | W 71–67 |
